Saturday, October 22, 2011

NY Showcase Day duplications

You have to appreciate Flying Zee Stable starting (or at least entering) four 2-year-olds in the Bertram F. Bongard. They're all winners, so the substantial presence is earned.

In the turfy Ticonderoga, 3/4 sisters Risk a Chance and Mineralogist start right next to each other. Risk a Chance is 3 years old and Mineralogist is 4. Both are homebreds owned by the Bromans and trained by Kimmel. They are 15-1 on the morning line as an entry, and neither has established herself as a turf specialist. In fact, Risk a Chance hadn't run on turf until September 29, when she was 4th in an allowance. Kimmel tried to get Mineralogist on the turf September 25, but the John Hettinger was moved to the turf. Both fillies seem like they could handle 7f adequately, so it's interesting they're not in the Iroquois earlier on the program. They could get in that race; it only has nine entrants. A strong faith in pedigrees might make you think that both fillies will move up on turf, or both will not. But it is perfectly possible that one of the fillies will like the turf and the other will not. This would be true even if the fillies were full sisters and not 3/4 sisters. But clearly Kimmel and the Bromans think of the fillies together to some extent, or they would not be trying the same gambit with both.

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