I don't really believe in the concept of the key race, or maybe better put, I believe there is only a very little bit to it. This belief doesn't mean that I don't notice to some extent which races produce subsequent talent, though I more find it neat that we were watching very good horses in lowly races and didn't realize it. It may be hard to find a better recent example than Cigar Street and Macho Macho running 5th + 6th in the same Fair Grounds maiden on 2/3. They both won subequently, and look out for them.
Exothermic over News Pending over Saturday Launch at Gulfstream on 2/5 has a chance to show up as having been a heck of an allowance. News Pending proceeded to be 2nd in the Fountain of Youth, and if I had to commit, I'd say he's better on turf. Saturday Launch lay 8th through a 49.18 half mile on Sunday and graduated from the condition anyway. Exothermic, we haven't seen again yet, but the situation is a bit like when Calumet would send out a couple of impressive 2-year-olds in Citation's era and know that another unraced was working even better. The difference is just that Exothermic beat News Pending and Saturday Launch in the afternoon, not in the morning.
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